Chinese-made gensets can cost just 60% of established western or Japanese brands, according to Chennai-based Suchitra Sriram, senior research analyst with Chinese-made gensets can cost just 60% of established western or Japanese brands, according to Chennai-based Suchitra Sriram, senior research analyst with Frost & Sullivan’s Energy & Power Systems, Asia Pacific.
According to Sriram, Chinese manufacturers are competing very aggressively in Southeast Asia and Australia/New Zealand (ANZ) – markets which she says are already “cut-throat”.
“If we look at the 500kW to 1MW [genset] range, the average price is around US$0.8 million. But the Chinese products cost much less, around $0.5 million.”
However, Chinese genset manufacturers don’t have a significant service or distribution network across Southeast Asia or ANZ, says Sriram. “They don’t have a presence. But, a lot of local importers and packagers will buy their equipment and repackage them,” she says.
Domestic firms account for a small proportion of large genset sales, although they are stronger in the market for smaller capacity machines. Multinational OEMs – Caterpillar, Cummins, MTU Detroit Diesel, Mitsubishi, and John Deere – take around 85% of the Southeast Asian market says Sriram, while in ANZ they take a “major portion”.
But price is the major decision-making factor across all size ranges, says Sriram; this is squeezing profit margins of established players already beleaguered by loss of market share from cheaper imports.
Overall, Sriram sees a robust market for stationary gensets in Southeast Asia. Market revenues reached US$281.1 million in 2006, and are forecast to reach US$504 million by the end of 2013.
Sriram sees particular potential in Indonesia, Phillipines and Vietnam where the power infrastructure is less developed. “You have a lot of remote areas, lots of islands which are not connected to the grid,” she says.
Nevertheless, she says, standby power – rather than baseload – is the key driver for genset markets. In ANZ, 40-50% of the genset market is for commercial building standby power, while another 30% is for industrial standby. In Southeast Asia (excluding China), standby power accounts for around 90% of the genset market.
Sriram says diesel is still the most popular fuel, and will remain so until gas networks are sufficiently developed. While environmental considerations are driving new sales – concerns about noise regulations for example, are forcing users to continuously upgrade – renewable power itself is not a serious threat to the fossil-fired genset market.
“Where you might have a problem transporting a diesel genset [to a location], there’s potential for renewable,” she says, adding that solar and solar/diesel hybrid solutions are working out well in telecoms applications.